Figuring Out Anthony Richardson’s Trade Value – My Two Cents
Alright, so I’ve been spending a bit of time lately, probably too much time if I’m honest, mulling over Anthony Richardson. You know, the Colts’ QB. Specifically, what in the world is his trade value in fantasy football right now? It’s been a real head-scratcher for me.
So, my process started, as it often does, with a bit of confusion. I own him in one of my more competitive leagues, and the offseason always gets me thinking. Do I try to sell high on the potential, or do I hold on for dear life hoping he becomes the next big thing? That was the big question mark hanging over my head.
First thing I did, I hopped onto a few fantasy sites, checked out some of those ‘expert rankings’. And let me tell you, it was a mixed bag. Some analysts had him ranked like he’s already a top-tier guy, others were way more cautious, pointing to the injuries. It didn’t really clear things up much, just showed me everyone’s kinda guessing.
Then, I fiddled with a couple of those online trade calculators. You type in Richardson, see what it spits back. Honestly, I find those things are a crapshoot half the time. They don’t know the specific dynamics of my league, who’s desperate for a QB, who’s rebuilding, none of that. They just give you a generic number that doesn’t mean much in the real world of my league.
So, I decided to go old school. I started putting out some feelers in my league. Nothing too aggressive, just casually mentioning Richardson in a few chats, trying to gauge interest.
- One league mate, a guy who’s always looking for that next big QB score, seemed intrigued but his initial offer felt like he was trying to get a steal.
- Another, who’s more conservative with his players, basically wouldn’t touch him. He kept bringing up the shoulder injury and the small sample size from last year.
That’s when it really hit me. The ‘value’ for a guy like Richardson isn’t some fixed number you find in an article. It’s wildly different from owner to owner. He’s a lottery ticket, a big one. He played, what, barely a handful of games? Flashed some serious, serious talent. That rushing upside is just insane, the kind that can win you a week all by itself. But then, boom, injury. And it wasn’t just one. It makes people nervous, and I totally get it.
I even thought about what I would give up to get him if I didn’t own him. And that was tough too! It depends so much on my team build. If I’m sitting there with a shaky QB situation and desperate for a guy with league-winning upside, maybe I’d be willing to pay a bit more than “market.” If I’m already set at QB, I’m probably not interested unless it’s a bargain I can’t refuse.
After going through all this, here’s where I landed, at least for now, in my little experiment.
- If you’re trying to sell him: You really need to find that one owner in your league who truly believes in that massive ceiling and is willing to pay for that dream. Otherwise, you’re probably not going to get what you think he’s worth based on pure potential. Patience is your best friend here.
- If you’re trying to buy him: You might find an owner who’s genuinely spooked by the injuries and is willing to sell at a bit of a discount compared to his ultimate ceiling. But be prepared for them to still value that upside pretty highly. No one wants to be the guy who sold the next big thing for cheap.
For my team, I decided to hold. The potential he showed, even in that tiny sample size, is just too tantalizing to let go of easily, especially in any kind of league where QBs score more points or you can start more than one. I’m just going to buckle up and hope he stays healthy and puts it all together. But yeah, figuring out his trade value? It was a good reminder that it’s less about spreadsheets and more about understanding the psychology and risk tolerance of the other managers in your specific league. What a ride, eh? Always something to think about with these players.